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Friday, January 5, 2018

Wave analysis and forecast for 05.01. 2018 – 12.01. 2018

                                                                   EUR/USD
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.2090. 
Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.2090  with a target of 1.1947 – 1.1903. 
Alternative scenario:  breakout and consolidation above level 1.2090  will allow the pair to continue rise to the level of 1.2230.
Analysis: supposedly, the fifth wave 5 in the form of diagonal triangle continues forming inside the first wave 1 of senior level within 4-hour timeframe. Apparently, the third wave iii of 5 has completed forming and wave iv of 5 is starting to form. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels of 1.1947 – 1.1903. The level 1.2090 is critical in this scenario.
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                                                                    GBP/USD
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3494.  
Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of 1.3494 with a target of 1.3657 – 1.3700. 
Alternative scenario:  breakout and consolidation below level 1.3494 will allow the pair to continue drop to the level of 1.3296.
Analysis: supposedly, the fifth wave 5 of (1) of senior level continues developing within 4-hour timeframe. Apparently, the wave v of 5 of junior level is forming locally, the pair is likely to continue rise to the levels of 1.3657 – 1.3700 inside. If the presumption is correct, the pair the pair will continue to drop to the levels of 1.3657 – 1.3700 inside The level 1.3494.  is critical in this scenario.
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                                                                    USD/CHF
Estimated pivot point is at a level of  0.9800.
Main scenario: short positions will be relevant below level 0.9800 with a target of 0.9610.
Alternative scenario:  breakout and consolidation above level  0.9800 will allow the pair to continue rising to the level of 0.9915.
Analysis: supposedly a descending correction in the form of wave (B) of senior level continues developing within 4-hour timeframe. Apparently, bullish momentum continues developing is in the form of wave (c) of ii, wave (v) of c started formation inside. If the presumption is correct, the pair may continue declining to the levels 0.9655 – 0.9610. The level 0.9800 is critical in this scenario.
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                                                                    USD/JPY
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 112.03. 
Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of 112.03  with a target of 114.73. 
Alternative scenario:  breakout and consolidation below level 112.03  will allow the pair to continue drop to the level of 1.3296.
Analysis: supposedly, wave (С) of senior level continues developing within 4-hour timeframe. Wave 3 of C started forming inside it. Apparently, the descending correction in the form ii of 3 has completed, and wave iii of 3 has started forming. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue rising to the level of 114.73. The level 112.03 is critical in this scenario.
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                                                                    USD/CAD
Estimated pivot point is at a level of  1.2465. 
Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of 1.2465 with a target of 1.2792 – 1.2920 
Alternative scenario:  breakout and consolidation below level 0.9800 will allow the pair to continue declining to the level of 1.2390.
Analysis: supposedly, the correction has completed within 4-hour timeframe in the form of wave (2) of 5 of senior level, currently shaped like a plane, and reached the correctional level of 50%.  Apparently, the price is starting to reverse. If the presumption is correct, it is reasonable to expect the pair rise to the levels of 1.2792 – 1.2920. The level 1.2390 is critical in this scenario. The pair will continue declining, having outbroken this level.
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Sunday, December 31, 2017

Wave analysis and forecast for 29.12. 2017 – 05.01. 2018

                                                             EUR/USD
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1844.
Main scenario: long positions will be relevant above the level of 1.1844 with a target of 1.2091 once the correction has finished.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.1844 will allow the pair to continue declining to a level of 1.1735.
Analysis: Supposedly, the fifth wave 5 continues forming  as a diagonal triangle within the first wave 1 of senior level within the 4-hour time frame. Apparently, the third wave iii of 5 is developing now, with the wave (a) of iii finishing within. If the presumption is correct, the pair will logically continue to rise to a level of 1.2091 after the correction (b) of iii  comes to an end. The level 1.1844 may be critical in this scenario.
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                                                                    GBP/USD
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3543.
Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.3423 with a target of 1.3218 – 1.3030.
Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.3543 will allow the pair to continue rising to a level of 1.3657.
Analysis: Supposedly, an ascending correction in the form of the wave В of (2) of senior level has stopped forming within the 4-hour time frame. Apparently, the wave C of (2) has started developing locally, with the wedge-shaped wave i of C formed and an ascending correction in the form of the wave ii of C nearing completion inside. If the assumption is correct, the pair will continue falling to the levels 1.3218 – 1.3030 once the correction is over. The level 1.3543 is critical in this scenario.
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                                                             USD/CHF
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9736.
Main scenario: long positions will be relevant above the level of 0.9736 with a target of 0.9977.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 0.9736 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels at 0.9692 – 0.9655.
Analysis: supposedly, an ascending correction in the form of the wave (2) of senior level continues developing within the 4-hour time frame. Apparently, the first wave  С of (2) is forming locally, with the downward correction of junior level i of C nearing completion in the form of the wave ii of C inside. If the presumption is correct, the pair may continue rising to the levels of 0.9977 – 1.0036 once the correction has finished. The level 0.9736 is critical in this scenario.
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                                                                   USD/JPY
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 112.99.
Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 112.99 with a target of 111.96.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 112.99 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 113.72 – 114.73.
Analysis: Supposedly, the third wave of senior level 3 of C continues forming in the 4-hour time frame. Apparently, a downward correction in the form of the wave ii of 3 of junior level is forming now, with the wave (c) of ii forming as an impetus inside. If this assumption is correct, the pair will go on dropping to the level of 111.96. The level 112.99 may be critical in this scenario.
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                                                                   USD/CAD
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.2659.
Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.2659 with a target of 1.2488 – 1.2390.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of  1.2659 will allow the pair to continue rising to a level of 1.2792.
Analysis: Supposedly, a correction continues to develop within the 4-hour time frame in a form of the wave 2 of (5) currently shaped like a plane. Apparently, the wave с of 2 is forming now as an impetus, with the wave (iii) of c forming within. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels 1.2488 – 1.2390. The level 1.2659 may be critical in this scenario.
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