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Friday, February 15, 2019

Wave analysis and forecast for 15/02/2019 – 22/02/2019

                                                    EUR/USD

The pair EUR/USD is still likely to fall. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1412.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.1412 with a target of 1.1200 – 1.1120.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.1412 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 1.1512 – 1.1572.
Analysis: Supposedly, a descending correction of senior level in the form of the wave (2) continues developing on the daily time frame with the wave C of (2) developing within. On the H4 time frame, presumably an ascending correction has finished developing in the form of wave  ii of C. On the H1 time frame, apparently, the third wave  iii of С of (2) started forming, with the wave (iii) of iii forming inside. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels of 1.1200 – 1.1120. The level 1.1412 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                    GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair is under correction, still likely to fall. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.2959.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.2959 with a target of 1.2710 – 1.2650.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.2959 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 1.3212 – 1.3390.
Analysis: Supposedly, a descending correction of senior level in the form of the second wave (2) finished developing within the daily frame in the form of a zigzag. Supposedly, the first counter-trend wave of junior level i of 1 of (3) has been formed and a descending correction is developing in the form of wave  ii of 1  on the H4 time frame. On H1 time frame, apparently the wave (b) of ii has been formed and the wave (c) of ii is developing at the moment. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels of  1.2710 – 1.2650. The level  1.2959 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                    USD/CHF

The pair USD/CHF is likely to fall under correction. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.0150.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.0150 with a target of 0.9929 – 0.9876. 
Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of  1.0150 will allow the pair to continue rising to a level of 1.0300 and higher.
Analysis: The first wave of senior level 1 of (3) has been formed on the daily time-frame and the downward correction 2 of (3) has finished developing. Supposedly, the first counter-trend wave i of 1 of (3) of junior level finished forming as an impetus on the H4 time frame. Apparently, a descending correction is forming as wave ii of 1 of (3) on the H1 time frame.  If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue dropping to  0.9929 – 0.9876 in the short term. The level  1.0150 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                   USD/JPY

The pair USD/JPY is still likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 109.65.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant above the level of  109.65 with a target of 111.42 – 113.67. 
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 109.65 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels at 107.73 – 106.20. 
Analysis: Supposedly, the wave of senior level (C) of B continues developing on the daily time frame, with the wave 2 of (C) formed inside. Supposedly, the local correction finished forming as wave 2 of (C) on the H4 time frame and the first counter-trend wave of junior level i of 3 of (C) is forming at the moment. Apparently, the wave  (v) of i is forming on the H1 time frame.  If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to 111.42 – 113.67. The level  109.65 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                    USD/CAD

The pair USD/CAD is still likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3193.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of 1.3193 with a target of  1.3660. 
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below a level of 1.3193 will allow the pair to continue declining to a level of 1.3067 and further below.
Analysis: Supposedly, an ascending trend continues to form as the third wave of senior level 3 of (5) on the daily time frame. On the 4-hour time frame, the first wave  i of 3 has been formed and a downward correction ii of 3 is completed in the form of a zigzag. On the H1 time-frame, apparently, an ascending impetus in the form of wave of junior level (i) of i of 3 has been formed and the correction (ii) of i is completed. If this assumption is correct, the pair will go on growing to a level of 1.3660 and higher. The level  1.3193 is critical in this scenario.
 

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Saturday, February 9, 2019

Wave analysis and forecast for 08/02/2019 – 15/02/2019

                                                    EUR/USD

The pair EUR/USD is still likely to fall Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1489.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.1489 with a target of 1.1211 – 1.1120.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.1489 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 1.1568 – 1.1623.
Analysis: Supposedly, a descending correction of senior level in the form of the wave (2) continues developing on the daily time frame with the wave C of (2) developing within. On the H4 time frame, presumably an ascending correction has finished developing in the form of wave  ii of C. On the H1 time frame, apparently, the third wave  iii of С of (2) started forming, with the correction (ii) of iii  completed in the form of a zigzag and the wave (iii) of iii starting to develop inside. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels of 1.1211 – 1.1120. The level  1.1489 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                   GBP/USD

The GBP/USD pair is under correction, still likely to fall. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3215.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.3215 with a target of 1.2806 – 1.2707.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.3215 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 1.3390 – 1.3628.
Analysis: Supposedly, a descending correction of senior level in the form of the second wave (2) finished developing within the daily frame in the form of a zigzag. Supposedly, the first counter-trend wave of junior level i of 1 of (3) has been formed and a descending correction is developing in the form of wave  ii of 1  on the H4 time frame. Apparently, the wave a of ii is formed on the H1 time frame.  If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to fall to  1.2806 – 1.2707 once the wave  b of ii finished forming. The level  1.3215 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                   USD/CHF

The pair USD/CHF is still likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9907.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of  0.9907 with a target of 1.0073 – 1.0126. 
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 0.9907 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels at 0.9834 – 0.9714.
Analysis: The first wave of senior level 1 of (3) has been formed on the daily time-frame and the downward correction 2 of (3) has finished developing. Supposedly, the first counter-trend wave i of 1 of (3) continues forming as an impetus on the H4 time frame. Apparently, the fifth wave of junior level (v) of i is forming on the H1 time frame. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to the levels 1.0073 – 1.0126 in the short term. The level  0.9907 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                   USD/JPY

The pair USD/JPY is still likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 108.47.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of 108.47 with a target of 110.80 – 111.42. 
Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of  108.47 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 106.20 – 104.50. 
Analysis: Supposedly, the wave of senior level (C) of B continues developing on the daily time frame, with the wave 2 of (C) formed inside. Supposedly, the local correction finished forming as the wave 2 of (C) on the H4 time frame and the first counter-trend wave of junior level i of 3 of (C) is forming at the moment. Apparently, the correction (iv) of i has finished forming on the H1 time frame, and the wave (v) of i is developing at the moment. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to the levels of 110.80 – 111.42. The level  108.47 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                   USD/CAD

The pair USD/CAD is still likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3066.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of 1.3066 with a target of  1.3660. 
Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3066 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.2910 – 1.2777.
Analysis: Supposedly, an ascending trend continues to form as the third wave of senior level 3 of (5) on the daily time frame. On the H4 timeframe, the first wave  i of 3 has been formed and a downward correction ii of 3 is completed in the form of a zigzag. Apparently, an ascending impetus is developing as the wave (i) of i of 3of junior level on the H1 time frame. If the assumption is correct, the pair will continue growing to the level 1.3660 and higher. The level  1.3066 is critical in this scenario.

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Friday, February 1, 2019

Wave analysis and forecast for 01/02/2019 – 08/02/2019

                                                        EUR/USD

The pair EUR/USD is still likely to fall Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1515.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.1515 with a target of 1.1289 – 1.1211.
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.1515 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 1.1568 – 1.1623.
Analysis: Supposedly, a descending correction of senior level in the form of the wave (2) continues developing on the daily time frame with the wave C of (2) developing within. On the H4 time frame, presumably an ascending correction has finished developing in the form of wave  ii of C. On the H1 time frame, apparently, the third wave  iii of С of (2) started forming, with the wave (i) of iii formed as an impetus and the correction (ii) of iii completed in the form of a zigzag inside. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels of 1.1289 – 1.1211. The level  1.1515 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                   GBP/USD

The pair GBP/USD is still likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3006.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant above the level of 1.3006 with a target of   1.3390 – 1.3628.
Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3006 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.2827 – 1.2665.
Analysis: Supposedly, a descending correction of senior level in the form of the second wave (2) finished developing on the daily frame in the form of a zigzag. On the H4 time frame, supposedly, the wave C of (2) finished developing in the form of a wedge and the first counter-trend wave of junior level i of 1 of (3) started forming. Apparently, the wave (iii) of i of 1 continues developing on the H1 time frame.  If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to 1.3390 – 1.3628. The level  1.3006 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                    USD/CHF

The pair USD/CHF is likely to fall in price. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9994.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 0.9994 with a target of 0.9854 – 0.9819. 
Alternative scenario: breakdown and consolidation above the level of 0.9994 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of 1.0073 – 1.0126.
Analysis: The first wave of senior level 1 of (3) has been formed on the daily time-frame and the downward correction 2 of (3) has finished developing. Supposedly, the first counter-trend wave of junior level i of 1 of (3) is formed as an impetus on the H4 time frame. On the H1 time frame, apparently a local correction has started developing in the form of wave ii of 1. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to drop to the levels 0.9854 – 0.9819 in the short term. The level  0.9994 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                  USD/JPY

The pair USD/JPY is still likely to grow. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 107.73.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant above the level of  107.73 with a target of 111.42 – 113.66. 
Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of  107.73 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 106.20 – 104.50. 
Analysis: Supposedly, the wave of senior level (C) of B continues developing on the daily time frame, with the wave 2 of (C) formed inside. Supposedly, the local correction finished forming as wave 2 of (C) on the H4 time frame and the first counter-trend wave of junior level i of 3 of (C) is forming at the moment. On the H1 time frame, the wave (iii) of i has been formed and a downward correction (iv) of i is nearing completion. If the presumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise to the levels of 110.80 – 111.42. The level  107.73 is critical in this scenario.

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                                                                  USD/CAD

The pair USD/CAD is still likely to fall. Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3286.

Main scenario: short positions will be relevant from corrections below the level of 1.3286 with a target of  1.3070 – 1.3030. 
Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.3286 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to the levels of  1.3376 – 1.3419 and higher.
Analysis: Supposedly, a descending correction of senior level in the form of the wave 2 of (5) finished developing on the daily frame and the wave 3 of (5) is forming at the moment. On the 4-hour time frame, an upward impetus finished developing as the first wave  i of 3 and a downward correction ii of 3 is forming as a zigzag at the moment. Apparently, the wave (с) of ii is developing on the 1H time frame. If the presumption is correct, the pair will  continue falling to the levels of  1.3070 – 1.3030 in the short term. The level  1.3286 is critical in this scenario.

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