Wave analysis and forecast of 01.05 – 08.05

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 01.05 – 08.05: Uptrend prevails.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1042.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.1042 with the target of 1.14 - 1.15.

Alternative scenario: Breakout of the level of 1.1042 and consolidation below this level will enable the price to continue decline to 1.08.

Analysis: The formation of the third wave of the senior level is still ongoing on the four-hour chart frame. Locally it seems that the formation of the third wave of the junior level (iii) is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct, it makes sense to expect local correction as the wave (iv) in the nearest future and, after its completion the rise in the pair to 1.14 – 1.15. Critical level for this scenario is 1.1042. Breakdown of this level will provoke the decline in the pair to 1.08 – 1.07.


GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 01.05 – 08.05: Uptrend continues.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.4848.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.5167 with the target of 1.5680.

Alternative scenario: Consolidation of the price below the level of 1.5167 will enable the pair to decline to 1.4848.

Analysis: The formation of the “bullish” impetus continues in the first wave A of the large upward correction 2. At the moment, it seems that the formation of the third wave has completed and the local correction as the wave iv of A is being formed. If this assumption is correct, after the completion of the correction the pair will continue to grow up to 1.5680. Critical level for this scenario is 1.4848.


AUD/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 01.05 – 08.05: The pair is undergoing correction. The rise in the pair is possible.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.7530.
Our opinion: Wait for the completion of the local correction and buy the pair above the level of 0.7737 with the target of 0.84.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 0.7737 will enable the pair to continue declining to 0.7530.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the first wave 1, (in which a wedge has been formed, as expected) completed. At the moment, it seems that the “bearish” correction is being formed as the wave 2, within which a zigzag can be formed. If this assumption is correct, after the completion of the local correction 2, the pair will continue to grow to the estimated level of 0.84. Critical level for this scenario is 0.7530. Breakdown of this level will trigger the decline in the pair to 0.73 – 0.71 in the long-term “bearish” trend.


USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 01.05 – 08.05: A chance of decline remains.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 120.84.

Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 119.25 with the target of117.70 - 116.80. If the level of 120.84 is broken down, buy the pair with the target of 122.00.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 120.84 will enable the pair to continue the rise up to 122.00.

Analysis: The formation of the zigzag continues in the fourth wave 4. Currently, it seems that the local correction in ongoing in the wave (ii), taking the shape of the plane abc. If this assumption is correct, it is likely that the correction will finish soon and the pair will continue to decline to 117.70 - 116.80. Critical level for this scenario is 120.84. Breakdown of this level trigger the rise in price to 122.0.


USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of for 01.05 – 08.05: “Bearish” correction has completed. The pair is likely to grow.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1940.

Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 1.1940 with the target of 1.23 – 1.28.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.1940 will enable the pair to continue declining to 1.1726.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the “bearish” correction in the fourth wave 4, has completed. Locally, five waves have been formed in the wave c of 4, which indicates a completion of the local “bearish” impetus. If this assumption is correct, the pair can at least rise up to 1.2840 in the fourth wave. Critical level for this scenario is 1.1940. Breakdown of this level will make possible the decline in price to 1.1726 in the fourth wave.