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Sunday, April 24, 2016

Wave analysis and forecast for 22.04 – 29.04

EUR/USD: Wave analysis and forecast for 22.04 – 29.04: The pair is undergoing correction.
Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.1397.

Our opinion: In the short-term: sell the pair below the level of 1.1397 with the target of 1.1130. In the medium-term: wait for the completion of the correction and buy in case of the confirming signals. After breakout of the level of 1.1397, sell with the target of 1.15 – 1.16.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.1397 will allow the pair to continue the rise up to 1.15 – 1.16.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the third wave 3 of the senior level continues, in which the extension is likely to be formed. At the moment, it seems that the wave (i) of iii of 3 has completed and the correction as the wave (ii) is being formed. If this assumption is correct, after the completion of the correction the pair will continue to rise to 1.16 and above. Critical level for this scenario is 1.1397. In case of breakout of this level the pair will continue to rise.
EURUSD H1

EURUSD H4

GBP/USD: Wave analysis and forecast for 22.04 – 29.04: The pair is likely to decline.
Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.4440.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.4440 with the target of 1.4070 – 1.3820.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.4440 will enable the pair to continue the rise up to the level of 1.46 – 1.47.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the upward correction as the fourth wave of the senior level has completed. Locally, it seems that the wedge has been formed, which supposedly is the wave с of 4. If this assumption is correct, the pair may decline to 1.4074 – 1.3820. Critical level for this scenario is 1.4440. Breakout of this level will trigger the rise in the pair up to 1.46 – 1.47.
GPBUSD H1

GPBUSD H4

USD/CHF: Wave analysis and forecast for 22.04 – 29.04: The pair is likely to grow within correction.
Estimated pivot point is at the level of 0.9580.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 0.9580 with the target of 0.98 – 1.00.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 0.9580 will allow the pair to continue decline to 0.95 – 0.94.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the wedge, as the first wave i of C on the daily time-frame, has completed. At the moment upward correction as the wave ii of C is developing, within which the wedge as the wave (a) is being formed. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise up to 0.98 – 1.0. Critical level for this scenario is 0.9580.
USDCHF H1

USDCHF H4

USD/JPY: Wave analysis and forecast for 22.04 – 29.04: The pair is likely to grow.
Estimated pivot point is at the level of 107.80.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 107.80 with the target of 114.00.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 107.80 will trigger the decline in the pair to the levels of 106.60 – 106.00.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward impetus has completed in the third wave of the senior level. At the moment it is likely that upward correction of the senior level is being formed as the fourth wave. Supposedly within this wave the first wave of the junior level (a) of iv is being formed. If this assumption is correct, the pair may rise up to 114.00. Ctitical level for this scenario is 107.80.
USDJPY H4

USDJPY Daily

USD/CAD: Wave analysis and forecast for 22.04 – 29.04: The pair is likely to rise.
Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.2590.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.2590 with the target of 1.2990 – 1.32.

Alternative scenario: Breakdown and consolidation of the price below the level of1.2590 will enable the pair to continue the decline to 1.25 – 1.24.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the downward impetus has completed in the wave A. At the moment it seems that the pair is going to reverse and undergo correction. If this assumption is correct, and the price does not break out the critical level of 1.2590, the pair will continue to rise up to 1.2990 – 1.32.
USDCAD H1

USDCAD H4

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