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Sunday, November 2, 2014

Wave analysis and forecast of 31.10 – 07.11

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 31.10 – 07.11: Decline in the pair continues.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.2770.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.2770 with the targets of 1.25 – 1.24 – 1.23.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above of the level of 1.2770 will enable the price to continue the rise up to the levels of 1.2950 – 1.30.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the final fifth wave of the “bearish” momentum continues on the daily timeframe. Locally, the third wave is being formed. If this assumption is correct, after the completion of the local correction it makes sense to expect that the pair will decline in the fifth wave. Critical level for this scenario is 1.2770.
EURUSD H4 

EURUSD Daily 

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast of 31.10 – 07.11: The pair is undergoing correction. The rise in the pair is possible.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.5870.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.5870 with the targets of 1.6380 – 1.64.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.5870 will enable the price to continue the decline to the levels of 1.58 – 1.57 as part of the “bearish” trend.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the correction as the wave B is ongoing. Locally it is likely that the formation of the wave (b) of a is nearing completion. If this assumption is correct and the pair does not fall below the critical level of 1.5870, after the completion of the wave (b) the price can grow up to the levels of 1.6380 – 1.64.
GPBUSD H4 

GPBUSD Daily 

USD/CHF Wave analysis and forecast of 31.10 – 07.11: The pair is likely to grow.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 0.9439.
Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 0.9439 with the target of 0.97 – 0.98.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below of the level of 0.9439 will make the pair continue to decline to the level of 0.9370.

Analysis: Based on the forming wave structure we can assume that the fifth wave of the “bullish” momentum is being formed; it is likely that within this wave the third wave iii of 5 is being developed. If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise up to the levels of 0.97 – 0.98. Critical level for this scenario is the level of completion of the second wave – 0.9439.
USDCHF H4 

USDCHF Daily 

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast of 31.10 – 07.11: Uptrend dominates.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 108.77.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 108.77 with the target of 112.00 – 112.60.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 108.77 will enable the pair to continue the decline to the levels of 107.56 – 106.20.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the diagonal triangle within the fifth wave of the senior level is nearing completion. Locally, the third wave is being developed. If this assumption is correct the pair can go up to the levels of 112.0 – 112.60. 
USDJPY H4 

USDJPY Daily 

USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast of 31.10 – 07.11: Uptrend continues.Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.1159.

Our opinion: Buy the pair above the level of 1.1159 with the target of 1.14 – 1.15.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.1159 will enable the pair to continue the decline to the levels of 1.11 – 1.1050.

Analysis: The formation of the local correction as the fourth wave iv of 5 has completed. Locally, price reversal is expected as well as small one-two waves. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down critical level of 1.1159, the pair can rise to the levels of 1.14 – 1.15 in the fifth wave v of 5.

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