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Friday, October 9, 2015

wave analysis and forecast of 09.10 – 16.10

EUR/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 09.10 – 16.10: The decline in the pair is likely to continue.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.1460.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.1460 with the target of 1.0950. In case of breakdown of the level of 1.1460, buy the pair with the target of 1.16 - 1.17.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation above the level of 1.1460 will enable the pair to continue to rise up to1.16 - 1.17.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the correction as the second wave 2 of the senior level continues, within which a double zigzag wxy is being formed. Locally, it is likely that the wave y of 2 is being developed in the shape of a zigzag, within which, the formation of the wave (b) is nearing completion and the decline to the level of 1.0950 is expected in the wave (c). Critical level for this scenario is 1.1460. Breakout of this level will enable the price to continue to rise up to 1.16 - 1.17.
EURUSD H4

EURUSD Daily

GBP/USD Wave analysis and forecast for 09.10 – 16.10: The pair is likely to rise.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.5100.

Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level 1.5100 with the target of 1.58 – 1.59.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price below the level of 1.5100 will enable the pair to continue to decline to 1.4950 – 1.49.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the correction of the senior level has completed in the wave В of (2), which has taken a shape of the irregular plane with the diagonal triangle (KDT) in the wave c of B. Locally, it is likely that the one two impetus of the junior level is being developed as the wave (i). If this assumption is correct, the pair will continue to rise in the wave С of (2) to the levels of 1.60 – 1.63. Critical level for this scenario is 1.51.
GPBUSD H4

GPBUSD Daily

USD/CHF Wave analysis and forecast for 09.10 – 16.10The decline in the pair is likely to continue.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 0.9840.

Our opinion: Sell the pair below the level of 0.9840 with the target of 0.9130. In case of breakdown of the level of 0.9840, buy with the target of 1.0130.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 0.9840 will enable the pair to rise up to 1.0 – 1.0130.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the wave C continues in the second 2 wave of the senior level. Locally, it seems that the correction as the second wave (ii) of the junior level has completed and the wave (iii) is being developed. If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 0.9840, the pair will continue to decline to the level of 0.9130.
USDCHF H4

USDCHF Daily

USD/JPY Wave analysis and forecast for 09.10 – 16.10: The pair is likely to decline.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 120.57.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 120.57 with the target of 115.00 – 114.00. In case of breakdown of the level of 120.57, buy with the target of 122.00.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 120.57 will make possible the rise in the pair up to the levels of 122.00 – 124.00.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the triangle within the wave b of A of (4) of the estimated zigzag has completed. Locally it is likely that the wave с of А is being developed, within which one-two impetus (i) has been formed, as well as the correction in a shape of an irregular triangle (ii) If this assumption is correct and the price does not break down the critical level of 120.57, it is possible that the pair will decline to the level of 115.00.
USDJPY H1

USDJPY H4

USD/СAD Wave analysis and forecast for 09.10 – 16.10: The pair is likely to decline within medium-term correction.
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.3450.

Our opinion: Sell the pair from correction below the level of 1.3450 with the target of 1.2485. In case of breakdown of the level of 1.3450, buy the pair with the target of 1.36.

Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level 1.3450 will enable the pair to continue to rise to the level of 1.36.

Analysis: Presumably, the formation of the upward impetus in the third wave of the senior level (3) has completed. At the moment, it seems that the large “bearish” correction is being developed as the fourth wave. Locally, it is assumed that the downward impetus in the first wave of the junior level (i) has completed and upward correction (ii) is possible. If this assumption is correct, after the completion of the correction the pair will continue to decline to the level of 1.2485. Critical level for this scenario is 1.3450. Breakdown of this level will trigger the rise in the pair to the levels of 1.36 – 1.37.
USDCAD H4

USDCAD Daily

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